COMP <GO>
SAIA vs ZTO // EV/EBITDA & P/E VALUATION
Saia Inc. (NASDAQ) VS. ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: SAIA 3
— ZTO 10
▲ EV/EBITDA & P/E VALUATION LEADER: ZTO
LAST: $344.61 (+0.45%) • MKT CAP: $9.15B
valuation
11.8x
LAST: $20.15 (+1.36%) • MKT CAP: $15.31B
valuation
7.2x
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (SAIA VS. ZTO)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | SAIA | ZTO | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | — | 25.00% | — | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 8.50% | 12.50% | -4.00 | ZTO | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation ACTIVE | 11.8x | 7.2x | +4.60 | ZTO | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 0.30% | 6.31% | -6.01 | ZTO | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 10.90% | 21.30% | -10.40 | ZTO | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 7.90% | 18.50% | -10.60 | ZTO | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 0.80% | 6.60% | -5.80 | ZTO | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.00% | 3.51% | -3.51 | ZTO | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 5.52 | 4.41 | +1.11 | SAIA | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 7/9 | 8/9 | -1.00 | ZTO | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 52.0 | 46.0 | +6.00 | SAIA | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 1.12 | 1.11 | +0.01 | SAIA | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 33.4x | 11.0x | +22.40 | ZTO | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $9.15B | $15.31B | -$6.15B | ZTO | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | SAIA REV | ZTO REV | SAIA GROSS % | ZTO GROSS % | SAIA FCF | ZTO FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $3.23B | $7.02B | — | 25.0% | $27.3M | $965.8M |
| FY 2024 | $3.21B | $6.07B | — | 31.0% | -$459.9M | $852.3M |
| FY 2023 | $2.88B | $0 | — | — | $448.3M | $1.88B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
SAIA // BETA 1.12
ZTO // BETA 1.11