COMP <GO>
UPS vs ODFL // EV/EBITDA & P/E VALUATION
United Parcel Service Inc. (NYSE) VS. Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (NASDAQ) • 15-METRIC TALLY: UPS 7
— ODFL 6
▲ EV/EBITDA & P/E VALUATION LEADER: UPS
LAST: $108.25 (+0.86%) • MKT CAP: $91.31B
valuation
9.1x
LAST: $172.56 (+0.12%) • MKT CAP: $35.74B
valuation
20.4x
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (UPS VS. ODFL)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | UPS | ODFL | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | — | — | — | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 24.80% | 25.50% | -0.70 | ODFL | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation ACTIVE | 9.1x | 20.4x | -11.30 | UPS | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 5.22% | 2.57% | +2.65 | UPS | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 8.90% | 13.60% | -4.70 | ODFL | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 6.30% | 10.20% | -3.90 | ODFL | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -2.60% | 11.00% | -13.60 | ODFL | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 5.91% | 0.66% | +5.25 | UPS | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 3.57 | 22.23 | -18.66 | ODFL | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 7/9 | 8/9 | -1.00 | ODFL | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 70.8 | 36.4 | +34.40 | UPS | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 1.12 | 0.89 | +0.23 | UPS | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 15.3x | 32.5x | -17.20 | UPS | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $91.31B | $35.74B | $55.58B | UPS | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | UPS REV | ODFL REV | UPS GROSS % | ODFL GROSS % | UPS FCF | ODFL FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $88.66B | $0 | — | — | $4.76B | $1.37B |
| FY 2024 | $91.07B | $0 | — | — | $6.21B | $1.66B |
| FY 2023 | $90.96B | $0 | — | — | $6.14B | $1.57B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
UPS // BETA 1.12
ODFL // BETA 0.89