ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ALKS // Alkermes plc

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001520262 ↗
Health Care • Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations
$44.89 ▼ -0.45 (-0.99%)
MKT CAP: $7.61B • VOL: 2.16M
ALKS // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 79/100 [B+] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B+
RQD CONFIDENCE
78 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +6.3% • P/E 29.3x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.11 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.18
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
15 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 5 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
SIGNAL

Why did ALKS's Forensic Fundamentals & Whale & Options Flow sub-score just trigger an outlier signal? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever ALKS is Upgraded or Downgraded.

ALKS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +31.37%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $45.37H $45.37L $44.89C $44.89VOL 1.11M
RES: $45.92SUP: $35.11SMA50: $43.85SMA200: $40.68
$57.45$50.07$42.69$35.30$27.92RES $45.92SUP $35.11$44.892026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
ALKS // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 46/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Alkermes plc (ALKS) exhibits 86.7% gross margins and 14.0% return on invested capital within Health Care (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), balanced against a 25.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 86.7% gross profitability converts into 17.2% operating margin and 14.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 14.0% // GM: 86.7%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -5.2% paired with 6.31% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -5.2% // FCF YLD: 6.31%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 8.03 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 8.03 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 31.5x trailing P/E (29.3x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 31.5x // EV/EBITDA: 25.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $44.89 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations require continuous execution to defend 16.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 16.4% // D/E: 0.00x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 29.3x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.05).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 31.5x
FORWARD P/E 29.3x
EV / EBITDA 25.1x
FCF YIELD 6.31%
GROSS MARGIN 86.7%
OPERATING MARGIN 17.2%
NET MARGIN 16.4%
ROIC % 14.0%
REV GROWTH YOY -5.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.44
DEBT / EQUITY 0.00x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 61.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.05
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ALKSPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $41.08
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for ALKS & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>