ATHR // Aether Holdings Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0002026353 ↗

Technology • Computer Software: Prepackaged Software

$2.65 ▲ +0.00 (0.00%)

MKT CAP: $32.4M • VOL: 10.8K

52W L $2 52W H $7

PIOTROSKI

2 / 9

ATHR // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE

PRIOR: RQD 28/100 [E] (-3 PT) • UNCHANGED AS OF 2026-11-02

ROARABLE E

RQD CONFIDENCE

25 / 100 -3D

5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS

E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+

Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid

01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL

Forensic Fundamentals

5 / 20

CRITICAL

FCF +0% vs NI +0% • ROIC-WACC -43.6% • Z 3.2

02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND

Whale & Options Flow

3 / 20

CRITICAL

52W RANGE 16% • VS 200D -26.8% • RSI 40.3

03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION

Insider & Capital Conviction

[LOCKED] FLAGGED

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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX

Macro Regime Fit

6 / 20

CRITICAL

HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.09 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.07

05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT

Forensic 10-K Risk

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ALERT

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SIG <GO> CROSS-FEED TRIANGULATION // PROPRIETARY ANOMALY ENGINE (1 ACTIVE ON ATHR)

STAGE 2 DETERMINISTIC Z-SCORE + STAGE 3 GEEK DESK BRIEF ALL MARKET ANOMALIES <SIG>

▼ BEARISH // MACRO TAILWIND SCORE (21/100)SIFTER 05 // TRUE NET LIQUIDITY BETA

SEVERITY: 93/100 Z-SCORE: +3.39σ

ATHR Exhibits 3.19x True Net Liquidity Elasticity as Fed-TGA-RRP Prints $5,746B

TRUE NET LIQUIDITY

$5,746B (-0.64% 4W)

NET LIQUIDITY ELASTICITY

3.19x BETA (r=+0.16)

MACRO TAILWIND SCORE

21 / 100

[GEEK DESK FORENSIC NOTE // FRED WALCL - TGA - RRP × 5Y BETA]

FRED Fed Assets (WALCL)US Treasury TGA (WTREGEN) + ON RRPICE BofA High-Yield OAS + 5Y Equity Beta

Wall Street's True Net Liquidity Index (WALCL minus Treasury General Account WTREGEN minus Overnight RRP) stands at $5,745.73B (-0.64% 4-week RoC; High-Yield OAS +2 bps). Rolling 5-year regression assigns Aether Holdings Inc. (ATHR) a 3.19x Net Liquidity beta (r = +0.16), placing it in the top decile of liquidity-sensitive equities. Current plumbing translates to a deterministic Macro Tailwind Score of 21/100.

ATHR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.21%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $2.73H $2.73L $2.65C $2.65VOL 29.8K

RES: $3.55SUP: $2.26SMA50: $3.10SMA200: $3.62

ATHR // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE

UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100

BEAR 0

100 BULL

Aether Holdings Inc. (ATHR) exhibits 70.8% gross margins and -35.0% return on invested capital within Technology (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)

01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 70.8% gross profitability converts into — operating margin and -35.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -35.0% // GM: 70.8%

02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -4.1% paired with -11.01% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -4.1% // FCF YLD: -11.01%

03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 2/9

▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)

01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —

02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $2.65 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85

03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software require continuous execution to defend -60.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -60.0% // D/E: 0.45x

KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.

MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).

FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>

FILER	SIDE	$ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>

UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>

STRIKE / EXP	TYPE	PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>

KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>

TRAILING P/E —

FORWARD P/E —

EV / EBITDA —

FCF YIELD -11.01%

GROSS MARGIN 70.8%

OPERATING MARGIN —

NET MARGIN -60.0%

ROIC % -35.0%

REV GROWTH YOY -4.1%

DILUTED EPS TTM —

DEBT / EQUITY —

DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%

RSI-14 MOMENTUM 40.3

5Y EQUITY BETA —

FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>

MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.

FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ATHRPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE

01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO

02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE

HEADLINE STRESS SCORE

75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE

PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE

DFII10 // -0.61 r

Latest: 2.08%

EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE

-8.50%

Implied Px: $2.42

EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE

-$4,248

On $50,000 Notional

[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for ATHR & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>

ATHR VS NVDA

MARGINS ROIC VALUATION

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MARGINS ROIC VALUATION

ATHR VS MSFT

MARGINS ROIC VALUATION

ATHR VS TSM

MARGINS ROIC VALUATION