ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

BEKE // KE Holdings Inc American

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001809587 ↗
Financials • Real Estate
$17.91 ▲ +0.20 (+1.13%)
MKT CAP: $20.01B • VOL: 5.10M
BEKE // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▲ UPGRADE // D- (RQD 42) -> D (RQD 44)
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
44 / 100 +2D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
5 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF -120% vs NI -23.1% • ROIC-WACC -7.1% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
14 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 64% • VS 200D +5.1% • RSI 55.3
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
8 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.01 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.20
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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BEKE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.58%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $17.42H $17.91L $17.42C $17.91VOL 4.04M
RES: $18.08SUP: $15.88SMA50: $17.19SMA200: $16.85
$20.18$18.45$16.73$15.00$13.27RES $18.08SUP $15.88$17.912026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
BEKE // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 39/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

KE Holdings Inc American (BEKE) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 2.1% return on invested capital within Financials (Real Estate), balanced against a 26.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 2.2% operating margin and 2.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 2.1% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +5.6% paired with -3.37% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +5.6% // FCF YLD: -3.37%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 46.0x trailing P/E (42.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 46.0x // EV/EBITDA: 26.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $17.91 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Real Estate require continuous execution to defend 3.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 3.2% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 42.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.11).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 46.0x
FORWARD P/E 42.8x
EV / EBITDA 26.3x
FCF YIELD -3.37%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 2.2%
NET MARGIN 3.2%
ROIC % 2.1%
REV GROWTH YOY +5.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.38
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.09%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 55.3
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.11
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // BEKEPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $16.39
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>