ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

BOOT // Boot Barn Holdings Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001610250 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores
$132.24 ▲ +1.76 (+1.35%)
MKT CAP: $3.90B • VOL: 1.26M
BOOT // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 61/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
61 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +0% vs NI +24.8% • ROIC-WACC +6.3% • Z 4.39
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +3.2% • P/E 14.5x • F-SCORE 9/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did BOOT's Macro Regime Fit & Whale & Options Flow sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever BOOT is Upgraded or Downgraded.

BOOT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.13%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $113.3H $132.2L $113.3C $132.2VOL 1.91M
RES: $150.7SUP: $102.6SMA50: $129.8SMA200: $157.5
$189.3$168.0$146.6$125.3$103.9RES $150.7SUP $102.6$132.22026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
BOOT // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 58/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Boot Barn Holdings Inc. (BOOT) exhibits 38.1% gross margins and 15.2% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), balanced against a 9.2x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 38.1% gross profitability converts into 13.3% operating margin and 15.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 15.2% // GM: 38.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +17.9% paired with 3.24% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +17.9% // FCF YLD: 3.24%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.39 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.39 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 17.3x trailing P/E (14.5x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 17.3x // EV/EBITDA: 9.2x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $132.24 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores require continuous execution to defend 10.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 10.0% // D/E: 0.37x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 14.5x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.06).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 17.3x
FORWARD P/E 14.5x
EV / EBITDA 9.2x
FCF YIELD 3.24%
GROSS MARGIN 38.1%
OPERATING MARGIN 13.3%
NET MARGIN 10.0%
ROIC % 15.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +17.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $7.55
DEBT / EQUITY 0.37x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 57.9
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.06
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // BOOTPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $121.00
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for BOOT & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>