ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CNC // Centene Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001071739 ↗
Health Care • Medical Specialities
$66.53 ▼ -1.92 (-2.80%)
MKT CAP: $33.89B • VOL: 5.63M
CNC // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 63/100 [C] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
63 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +200% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -38.5% • Z 2.52
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
16 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 90% • VS 200D +22.9% • RSI 53.2
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
14 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.06 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.01
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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CNC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +24.22%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $68.62H $68.62L $66.53C $66.53VOL 4.81M
RES: $73.17SUP: $56.14SMA50: $66.31SMA200: $55.69
$74.99$64.66$54.32$43.99$33.65RES $73.17SUP $56.14$66.532026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
CNC // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Centene Corporation (CNC) exhibits 8.1% gross margins and -31.0% return on invested capital within Health Care (Medical Specialities), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 8.1% gross profitability converts into -4.4% operating margin and -31.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -31.0% // GM: 8.1%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +20.0% paired with 12.72% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +20.0% // FCF YLD: 12.72%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.52 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.52 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (36.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $66.53 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Medical Specialities require continuous execution to defend -3.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -3.8% // D/E: 0.87x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 36.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.94).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E 36.0x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 12.72%
GROSS MARGIN 8.1%
OPERATING MARGIN -4.4%
NET MARGIN -3.8%
ROIC % -31.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +20.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $-13.48
DEBT / EQUITY 0.87x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 53.2
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.94
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CNCPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $60.88
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>