ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CZFS // Citizens Financial Services Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000739421 ↗
Financials • Major Banks
$84.59 ▼ -1.42 (-1.65%)
MKT CAP: $413.7M • VOL: 34.6K
CZFS // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 71/100 [B-] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B-
RQD CONFIDENCE
70 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
15 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 92% • VS 200D +20.3% • RSI 65.7
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +9% • P/E 10.4x • F-SCORE 4/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.05 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.17
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

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CZFS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +34.08%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $85.35H $86.01L $84.59C $84.59VOL 47.9K
RES: $88.43SUP: $76.04SMA50: $81.38SMA200: $71.05
$90.17$82.00$73.82$65.65$57.47RES $88.43SUP $76.04$84.592026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
CZFS // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 48/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Citizens Financial Services Inc. (CZFS) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 10.8% return on invested capital within Financials (Major Banks), balanced against a 11.2x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into — operating margin and 10.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 10.8% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +2.8% paired with 8.95% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +2.8% // FCF YLD: 8.95%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 11.2x trailing P/E (10.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 11.2x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $84.59 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Major Banks require continuous execution to defend 68.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 68.0% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 10.4x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 11.2x
FORWARD P/E 10.4x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 8.95%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN —
NET MARGIN 68.0%
ROIC % 10.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +2.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM $7.60
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.34%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 67.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CZFSPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $77.40
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for CZFS & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>