ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
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DIS // Walt Disney Company

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001744489 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation
$110.94 ▲ +0.03 (+0.03%)
MKT CAP: $191.51B • VOL: 6.34M
DIS // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 71/100 [B-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B-
RQD CONFIDENCE
71 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
16 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 75% • VS 200D +7.2% • RSI 57.9
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +5.3% • P/E 14.3x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
14 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.07 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.37
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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DIS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.51%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $109.0H $110.9L $109.0C $110.9VOL 6.07M
RES: $113.7SUP: $103.6SMA50: $107.4SMA200: $103.4
$114.8$108.8$102.7$96.67$90.61RES $113.7SUP $103.6$110.92026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
DIS // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 47/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Walt Disney Company (DIS) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 10.0% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), balanced against a 9.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 18.6% operating margin and 10.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 10.0% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +3.4% paired with 5.26% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +3.4% // FCF YLD: 5.26%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.28 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.28 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 15.4x trailing P/E (14.3x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 15.4x // EV/EBITDA: 9.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $110.94 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation require continuous execution to defend 13.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 13.1% // D/E: 0.33x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 14.3x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.88).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 15.4x
FORWARD P/E 14.3x
EV / EBITDA 9.1x
FCF YIELD 5.26%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 18.6%
NET MARGIN 13.1%
ROIC % 10.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +3.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $7.18
DEBT / EQUITY 0.33x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.94%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 57.9
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.88
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // DISPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $101.51
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>