Harley-Davidson Inc. (HOG) exhibits 23.9% gross margins and 18.0% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Motor Vehicles), balanced against a 3.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.
Sustained 23.9% gross profitability converts into 10.7% operating margin and 18.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.
ROIC: 18.0% // GM: 23.9%YoY revenue trajectory of -13.1% paired with 13.16% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.
REV YOY: -13.1% // FCF YLD: 13.16%Altman Z-Score of 2.18 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.
ALTMAN Z: 2.18 // F-SCORE: 6/9Trading at 9.3x trailing P/E (8.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.
P/E: 9.3x // EV/EBITDA: 3.5xOptions market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $31.22 max pain.
IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Motor Vehicles require continuous execution to defend 9.4% net margins.
NET MARGIN: 9.4% // D/E: 0.53x| FILER | SIDE | $ VALUE |
|---|---|---|
| INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO> | ||
| STRIKE / EXP | TYPE | PREMIUM |
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| INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO> | ||
Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for HOG & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.