ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MCHP // Microchip Technology Incorporated

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000827054 ↗
Technology • Semiconductors
$77.34 ▼ -3.78 (-4.66%)
MKT CAP: $44.05B • VOL: 19.83M
MCHP // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 68/100 [C+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
68 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +12.8% vs NI +0% • ROIC-WACC -5% • Z 4.88
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
14 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 57% • VS 200D +1.7% • RSI 58.6
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did MCHP's Macro Regime Fit & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever MCHP is Upgraded or Downgraded.

MCHP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.85%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $79.63H $81.12L $77.34C $77.34VOL 7.96M
RES: $81.95SUP: $66.26SMA50: $75.50SMA200: $79.77
$108.6$97.58$86.61$75.63$64.65RES $81.95SUP $66.26$77.342026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
MCHP // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 44/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) exhibits 57.7% gross margins and 3.3% return on invested capital within Technology (Semiconductors), balanced against a 86.6x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 57.7% gross profitability converts into 10.4% operating margin and 3.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 3.3% // GM: 57.7%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +7.1% paired with 1.98% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +7.1% // FCF YLD: 1.98%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.88 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.88 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 86.6x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $77.34 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Semiconductors require continuous execution to defend 4.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 4.9% // D/E: 0.82x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.22).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 86.6x
FCF YIELD 1.98%
GROSS MARGIN 57.7%
OPERATING MARGIN 10.4%
NET MARGIN 4.9%
ROIC % 3.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +7.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.82x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.23%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 58.6
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.22
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MCHPPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $70.77
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for MCHP & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>