ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MTG // MGIC Investment Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000876437 ↗
Financials • Property-Casualty Insurers
$28.94 ▲ +0.53 (+1.87%)
MKT CAP: $5.83B • VOL: 2.10M
MTG // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 75/100 [B] (-3 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
72 / 100 -3D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF +17.7% vs NI -3.2% • ROIC-WACC +3.8% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +14.4% • P/E 7.4x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
14 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.13 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.27
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did MTG's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever MTG is Upgraded or Downgraded.

MTG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.58%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-03O $28.85H $28.94L $28.41C $28.94VOL 1.76M
RES: $31.16SUP: $25.98SMA50: $28.89SMA200: $27.78
$32.39$30.31$28.22$26.13$24.04RES $31.16SUP $25.98$28.942026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
MTG // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 48/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 13.2% return on invested capital within Financials (Property-Casualty Insurers), balanced against a 6.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 74.2% operating margin and 13.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 13.2% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +0.5% paired with 14.39% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +0.5% // FCF YLD: 14.39%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 8.0x trailing P/E (7.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 8.0x // EV/EBITDA: 6.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $28.94 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Property-Casualty Insurers require continuous execution to defend 60.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 60.8% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 7.4x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.14).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 8.0x
FORWARD P/E 7.4x
EV / EBITDA 6.8x
FCF YIELD 14.39%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 74.2%
NET MARGIN 60.8%
ROIC % 13.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +0.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $3.60
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.24%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 50.6
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.14
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MTGPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $26.48
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for MTG & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>