ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

NEGG // Newegg Commerce Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001474627 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Other Specialty Stores
$9.84 ▲ +0.06 (+0.61%)
MKT CAP: $205.1M • VOL: 33.3K
NEGG // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 23/100 [E] (-10 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
13 / 100 -10D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
3 / 20
CRITICAL
52W RANGE 1% • VS 200D -62.8% • RSI 34.2
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
3 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF YIELD -14.5% • P/E N/A • F-SCORE 3/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
4 / 20
CRITICAL
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.03 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.17
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

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NEGG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -67.82%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $10.31H $10.31L $9.78C $9.84VOL 20.1K
RES: $18.14SUP: $9.06SMA50: $13.11SMA200: $26.32
$57.07$44.12$31.17$18.22$5.27RES $18.14SUP $9.06$9.842026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
NEGG // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 33/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Newegg Commerce Inc. (NEGG) exhibits 48.7% gross margins and -14.3% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Other Specialty Stores), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 48.7% gross profitability converts into -2.8% operating margin and -14.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -14.3% // GM: 48.7%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of — paired with -14.46% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: — // FCF YLD: -14.46%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.80 // F-SCORE: 3/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $9.84 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Other Specialty Stores require continuous execution to defend -1.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -1.4% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -14.46%
GROSS MARGIN 48.7%
OPERATING MARGIN -2.8%
NET MARGIN -1.4%
ROIC % -14.3%
REV GROWTH YOY —
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 34.2
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // NEGGPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $9.00
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>