ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

NEU // NewMarket Corp

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001282637 ↗
Materials • Major Chemicals
$783.66 ▼ -19.41 (-2.42%)
MKT CAP: $7.39B • VOL: 198.1K
NEU // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 73/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
73 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF +6.3% vs NI -9.4% • ROIC-WACC +8.4% • Z 4.77
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +6.7% • P/E 16.4x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
16 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 4 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did NEU's Whale & Options Flow & Macro Regime Fit sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever NEU is Upgraded or Downgraded.

NEU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.24%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $873.3H $873.3L $783.7C $783.7VOL 227.1K
RES: $908.2SUP: $783.2SMA50: $887.1SMA200: $764.1
$1,005.8$905.7$805.6$705.5$605.4RES $908.2SUP $783.2$783.72026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
NEU // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 49/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

NewMarket Corp (NEU) exhibits 31.5% gross margins and 16.6% return on invested capital within Materials (Major Chemicals), balanced against a 13.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 31.5% gross profitability converts into 20.0% operating margin and 16.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 16.6% // GM: 31.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -2.2% paired with 6.65% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -2.2% // FCF YLD: 6.65%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.77 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.77 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 17.6x trailing P/E (16.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 17.6x // EV/EBITDA: 13.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $783.66 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Major Chemicals require continuous execution to defend 15.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 15.4% // D/E: 0.50x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 16.4x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.96).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 17.6x
FORWARD P/E 16.4x
EV / EBITDA 13.4x
FCF YIELD 6.65%
GROSS MARGIN 31.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 20.0%
NET MARGIN 15.4%
ROIC % 16.6%
REV GROWTH YOY -2.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $45.53
DEBT / EQUITY 0.50x
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.43%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 28.4
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.96
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // NEUPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $717.08
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for NEU & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>