ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

NXRT // NexPoint Residential Trust Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001620393 ↗
Financials • Real Estate Investment Trusts
$16.48 ▼ -1.56 (-8.65%)
MKT CAP: $460.9M • VOL: 1.65M
NXRT // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 41/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
41 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF +13.6% vs NI -120% • ROIC-WACC -1.2% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
9 / 20
WARNING
FCF YIELD +17.9% • P/E N/A • F-SCORE 3/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
8 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.22 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.26
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did NXRT's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever NXRT is Upgraded or Downgraded.

NXRT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -44.10%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-04O $18.03H $18.04L $16.48C $16.48VOL 371.1K
SUP: $15.75SMA50: $20.38SMA200: $25.71
$31.46$27.40$23.34$19.28$15.22SUP $15.75$16.482026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
NXRT // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 42/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

NexPoint Residential Trust Inc. (NXRT) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 7.8% return on invested capital within Financials (Real Estate Investment Trusts), balanced against a 16.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 11.1% operating margin and 7.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 7.8% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -3.2% paired with 17.86% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -3.2% // FCF YLD: 17.86%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 3/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 16.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $16.48 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Real Estate Investment Trusts require continuous execution to defend -12.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -12.8% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 16.3x
FCF YIELD 17.86%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 11.1%
NET MARGIN -12.8%
ROIC % 7.8%
REV GROWTH YOY -3.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 11.44%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 40.1
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // NXRTPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $15.08
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for NXRT & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>