ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

SAIA // Saia Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001177702 ↗
Industrials • Trucking Freight/Courier Services
$344.61 ▲ +1.54 (+0.45%)
MKT CAP: $9.15B • VOL: 560.6K
SAIA // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 59/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
59 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +105.9% vs NI -29.6% • ROIC-WACC -0.9% • Z 5.52
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
9 / 20
WARNING
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.03 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.31
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did SAIA's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever SAIA is Upgraded or Downgraded.

SAIA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.93%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $324.6H $344.6L $324.6C $344.6VOL 780.7K
RES: $350.6SUP: $319.2SMA50: $341.5SMA200: $388.1
$507.0$456.2$405.4$354.6$303.8RES $350.6SUP $319.2$344.62026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
SAIA // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 45/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Saia Inc. (SAIA) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 8.5% return on invested capital within Industrials (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), balanced against a 11.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 10.9% operating margin and 8.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 8.5% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +0.8% paired with 0.30% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +0.8% // FCF YLD: 0.30%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 5.52 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 5.52 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 35.9x trailing P/E (33.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 35.9x // EV/EBITDA: 11.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $344.61 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Trucking Freight/Courier Services require continuous execution to defend 7.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 7.9% // D/E: 0.27x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 33.4x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.12).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 35.9x
FORWARD P/E 33.4x
EV / EBITDA 11.8x
FCF YIELD 0.30%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 10.9%
NET MARGIN 7.9%
ROIC % 8.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +0.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM $9.56
DEBT / EQUITY 0.27x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 52.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.12
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SAIAPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $315.33
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for SAIA & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>