ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

SMFG // Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc Unsponsored American

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001022837 ↗
Financials • Commercial Banks
$24.20 ▼ -0.46 (-1.86%)
MKT CAP: $157.38B • VOL: 1.56M
SMFG // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 59/100 [C-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
59 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +0% vs NI +0% • ROIC-WACC +1.2% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.01 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.41
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
15 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 5 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did SMFG's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever SMFG is Upgraded or Downgraded.

SMFG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.29%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $24.14H $24.66L $24.14C $24.20VOL 1.14M
RES: $28.70SUP: $23.47SMA50: $25.57SMA200: $23.42
$28.25$25.63$23.01$20.40$17.78RES $28.70SUP $23.47$24.202026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
SMFG // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 44/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc Unsponsored American (SMFG) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 9.9% return on invested capital within Financials (Commercial Banks), balanced against a 21.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 13.9% operating margin and 9.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 9.9% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -2.2% paired with 2.21% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -2.2% // FCF YLD: 2.21%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 32.8x trailing P/E (30.5x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 32.8x // EV/EBITDA: 21.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $24.20 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Commercial Banks require continuous execution to defend 10.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 10.9% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 30.5x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.97).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 32.8x
FORWARD P/E 30.5x
EV / EBITDA 21.0x
FCF YIELD 2.21%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 13.9%
NET MARGIN 10.9%
ROIC % 9.9%
REV GROWTH YOY -2.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.75
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 47.8
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.97
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SMFGPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $22.14
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for SMFG & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>