ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

SPCB // SuperCom Ltd. (Israel)

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001291855 ↗
Technology • Semiconductors
$9.23 ▼ -0.31 (-3.25%)
MKT CAP: $59.9M • VOL: 27.1K
SPCB // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // D- (RQD 35) -> E (RQD 34)
ROARABLE E
RQD CONFIDENCE
34 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 52% • VS 200D +3.1% • RSI 57.6
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
7 / 20
WARNING
FCF YIELD -9.9% • P/E 16x • F-SCORE 5/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
8 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=+0.00 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.18
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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ALERT

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SPCB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.58%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-04O $10.06H $10.06L $9.23C $9.23VOL 56.5K
RES: $10.20SUP: $8.03SMA50: $9.63SMA200: $9.77
$13.18$11.91$10.64$9.37$8.10RES $10.20SUP $8.03$9.232026-05-052026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-04
SPCB // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 39/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

SuperCom Ltd. (Israel) (SPCB) exhibits 55.2% gross margins and -0.5% return on invested capital within Technology (Semiconductors), balanced against a 17.2x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 55.2% gross profitability converts into -1.2% operating margin and -0.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -0.5% // GM: 55.2%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +0.9% paired with -9.86% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +0.9% // FCF YLD: -9.86%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.43 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.43 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 17.2x trailing P/E (16.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 17.2x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $9.23 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Semiconductors require continuous execution to defend 13.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 13.4% // D/E: 0.43x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 16.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 17.2x
FORWARD P/E 16.0x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD -9.86%
GROSS MARGIN 55.2%
OPERATING MARGIN -1.2%
NET MARGIN 13.4%
ROIC % -0.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +0.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.60
DEBT / EQUITY 0.43x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 48.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // SPCBPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $8.45
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>