ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

YUM // Yum! Brands Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001041061 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Restaurants
$155.40 ▲ +0.85 (+0.55%)
MKT CAP: $42.18B • VOL: 2.17M
YUM // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 74/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
74 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF +14.5% vs NI +4.9% • ROIC-WACC +52.4% • Z 2.55
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +3.9% • P/E 25.2x • F-SCORE 9/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.20 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.07
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did YUM's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever YUM is Upgraded or Downgraded.

YUM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.65%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $150.2H $155.4L $150.2C $155.4VOL 1.61M
RES: $157.5SUP: $126.4SMA50: $146.1SMA200: $153.4
$172.7$162.2$151.8$141.4$131.0RES $157.5SUP $126.4$155.42026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
YUM // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 85/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Yum! Brands Inc. (YUM) exhibits 69.8% gross margins and 60.3% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Restaurants), balanced against a 16.6x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 69.8% gross profitability converts into 31.3% operating margin and 60.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 60.3% // GM: 69.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +8.8% paired with 3.89% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +8.8% // FCF YLD: 3.89%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.55 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.55 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 27.1x trailing P/E (25.2x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 27.1x // EV/EBITDA: 16.6x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $155.40 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Restaurants require continuous execution to defend 19.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 19.0% // D/E: 0.85x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 25.2x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.07).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 27.1x
FORWARD P/E 25.2x
EV / EBITDA 16.6x
FCF YIELD 3.89%
GROSS MARGIN 69.8%
OPERATING MARGIN 31.3%
NET MARGIN 19.0%
ROIC % 60.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +8.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM $5.71
DEBT / EQUITY 0.85x
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.87%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 64.3
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.07
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // YUMPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $142.20
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>