COMP <GO>
ADT vs MA // OPTIONS IMPLIED MOVE & PUT/CALL SKEW
ADT Inc. (NYSE) VS. Mastercard Incorporated (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: ADT 6
— MA 7
■ METRIC PARITY
LAST: $9.83 (-0.30%) • MKT CAP: $7.20B
options-implied-move
—
LAST: $658.10 (+3.15%) • MKT CAP: $555.82B
options-implied-move
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15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (ADT VS. MA)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | ADT | MA | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | — | — | — | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 9.30% | 33.50% | -24.20 | MA | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 9.9x | 29.2x | -19.30 | ADT | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 22.00% | 3.08% | +18.92 | ADT | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 25.50% | 57.60% | -32.10 | MA | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 11.60% | 45.60% | -34.00 | MA | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 4.70% | 16.40% | -11.70 | MA | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 2.59% | 0.49% | +2.10 | ADT | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 0.69 | 11.17 | -10.48 | MA | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 7/9 | 8/9 | -1.00 | MA | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew ACTIVE | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 88.0 | 69.7 | +18.30 | ADT | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 1.05 | 0.90 | +0.15 | ADT | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 11.3x | 31.2x | -19.90 | ADT | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $7.20B | $555.82B | -$548.62B | MA | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | ADT REV | MA REV | ADT GROSS % | MA GROSS % | ADT FCF | MA FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $5.13B | $32.79B | — | — | $1.71B | $17.16B |
| FY 2024 | $4.90B | $28.17B | — | — | $1.72B | $14.31B |
| FY 2023 | $4.65B | $25.10B | — | — | $1.45B | $10.85B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
ADT // BETA 1.05
MA // BETA 0.90