COMP <GO>
HLP vs TWIN // EV/EBITDA & P/E VALUATION
Hongli Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ) VS. Twin Disc Incorporated (NASDAQ) • 15-METRIC TALLY: HLP 6
— TWIN 4
■ METRIC PARITY
LAST: $4.07 (+0.25%) • MKT CAP: $303.4M
valuation
—
LAST: $24.75 (+3.21%) • MKT CAP: $348.6M
valuation
17.1x
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (HLP VS. TWIN)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | HLP | TWIN | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 32.50% | 27.60% | +4.90 | HLP | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 3.40% | 3.90% | -0.50 | TWIN | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation ACTIVE | — | 17.1x | — | TIE | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 0.21% | 2.40% | -2.19 | TWIN | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 12.40% | 3.30% | +9.10 | HLP | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 9.90% | -0.60% | +10.50 | HLP | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 39.00% | 15.50% | +23.50 | HLP | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.00% | 0.62% | -0.62 | TWIN | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 13.76 | 3.13 | +10.63 | HLP | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 7/9 | 7/9 | 0.00 | TIE | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 78.4 | 43.2 | +35.20 | HLP | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | — | — | — | TIE | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | — | — | — | TIE | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $303.4M | $348.6M | -$45.2M | TWIN | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | HLP REV | TWIN REV | HLP GROSS % | TWIN GROSS % | HLP FCF | TWIN FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $19.6M | $340.7M | 32.5% | 27.6% | $660.8K | $8.8M |
| FY 2024 | $14.1M | $295.1M | 32.0% | 28.2% | -$446.5K | $25.0M |
| FY 2023 | $16.0M | $45.0M | — | — | $884.9K | $22.9M |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
HLP // BETA —
TWIN // BETA —