COMP <GO>
HOG vs LKQ // ALTMAN Z-SCORE & DEBT/EQUITY
Harley-Davidson Inc. (NYSE) VS. LKQ Corporation (NASDAQ) • 15-METRIC TALLY: HOG 6
— LKQ 8
▲ ALTMAN Z-SCORE & DEBT/EQUITY LEADER: LKQ
LAST: $33.07 (+5.93%) • MKT CAP: $3.25B
balance-sheet
2.18
LAST: $19.93 (+7.38%) • MKT CAP: $4.68B
balance-sheet
2.40
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (HOG VS. LKQ)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | HOG | LKQ | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 23.90% | 38.60% | -14.70 | LKQ | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 18.00% | 8.50% | +9.50 | HOG | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 3.5x | 4.8x | -1.30 | HOG | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 13.16% | 9.80% | +3.36 | HOG | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 10.70% | 7.30% | +3.40 | HOG | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 9.40% | 4.50% | +4.90 | HOG | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -13.10% | -1.20% | -11.90 | LKQ | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 2.74% | 6.77% | -4.03 | LKQ | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity ACTIVE | 2.18 | 2.40 | -0.22 | LKQ | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 6/9 | 7/9 | -1.00 | LKQ | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 70.6 | 37.1 | +33.50 | HOG | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta | 0.92 | 1.06 | -0.14 | LKQ | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 8.6x | 7.0x | +1.60 | LKQ | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $3.25B | $4.68B | -$1.44B | LKQ | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | HOG REV | LKQ REV | HOG GROSS % | LKQ GROSS % | HOG FCF | LKQ FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $3.60B | $13.65B | 23.9% | 38.6% | $415.2M | $448.7M |
| FY 2024 | $4.15B | $13.82B | 27.5% | 38.9% | $867.3M | $499.0M |
| FY 2023 | $4.88B | $13.27B | — | — | $535.2M | $758.9M |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
HOG // BETA 0.92
LKQ // BETA 1.06