COMP <GO>
TFII vs ZTO // 10Y YIELD & FRED MACRO BETA
TFI International Inc. (NYSE) VS. ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: TFII 1
— ZTO 11
▲ 10Y YIELD & FRED MACRO BETA LEADER: ZTO
LAST: $95.90 (+2.77%) • MKT CAP: $7.67B
macro-sensitivity
0.90
LAST: $20.35 (+0.99%) • MKT CAP: $15.51B
macro-sensitivity
1.11
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (TFII VS. ZTO)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | TFII | ZTO | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | — | 25.00% | — | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 9.90% | 12.50% | -2.60 | ZTO | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 21.0x | 7.2x | +13.80 | ZTO | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 2.21% | 6.31% | -4.10 | ZTO | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 13.90% | 21.30% | -7.40 | ZTO | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 10.90% | 18.50% | -7.60 | ZTO | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 14.30% | 6.60% | +7.70 | TFII | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 0.00% | 3.51% | -3.51 | ZTO | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 3.74 | 4.41 | -0.67 | ZTO | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 8/9 | 8/9 | 0.00 | TIE | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 34.3 | 51.1 | -16.80 | ZTO | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta ACTIVE | 0.90 | 1.11 | -0.21 | ZTO | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 27.6x | 11.0x | +16.60 | ZTO | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $7.67B | $15.51B | -$7.84B | ZTO | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | TFII REV | ZTO REV | TFII GROSS % | ZTO GROSS % | TFII FCF | ZTO FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | — | $7.02B | — | 25.0% | — | $965.8M |
| FY 2024 | — | $6.07B | — | 31.0% | — | $852.3M |
| FY 2023 | — | $3.95B | — | — | — | $1.88B |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
TFII // BETA 0.90
ZTO // BETA 1.11