COMP <GO>
ZTO vs TFII // 10Y YIELD & FRED MACRO BETA
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. American (NYSE) VS. TFI International Inc. (NYSE) • 15-METRIC TALLY: ZTO 11
— TFII 1
▲ 10Y YIELD & FRED MACRO BETA LEADER: ZTO
LAST: $20.15 (+1.36%) • MKT CAP: $15.51B
macro-sensitivity
1.11
LAST: $93.32 (-17.08%) • MKT CAP: $7.67B
macro-sensitivity
0.90
15-METRIC INSTITUTIONAL SIDE-BY-SIDE SCORECARD (ZTO VS. TFII)
EMERALD CELL = QUANTITATIVE EDGE
| INSTITUTIONAL METRIC | ZTO | TFII | SPREAD (A - B) | ADVANTAGE | DEDICATED URL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 25.00% | — | — | TIE | /gross-margins <GO> |
| Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) | 12.50% | 9.90% | +2.60 | ZTO | /roic <GO> |
| EV/EBITDA & P/E Valuation | 7.2x | 21.0x | -13.80 | ZTO | /valuation <GO> |
| Free Cash Flow Yield | 6.31% | 2.21% | +4.10 | ZTO | /fcf-yield <GO> |
| Operating Margin | 21.30% | 13.90% | +7.40 | ZTO | /operating-margins <GO> |
| Net Profit Margin | 18.50% | 10.90% | +7.60 | ZTO | /net-margins <GO> |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | 6.60% | 14.30% | -7.70 | TFII | /revenue-growth <GO> |
| Dividend Yield & FCF Payout Safety | 3.51% | 0.00% | +3.51 | ZTO | /dividend-safety <GO> |
| Altman Z-Score & Debt/Equity | 4.41 | 3.74 | +0.67 | ZTO | /balance-sheet <GO> |
| Piotroski F-Score Quality | 8/9 | 8/9 | 0.00 | TIE | /piotroski-score <GO> |
| Options Implied Move & Put/Call Skew | — | — | — | TIE | /options-implied-move <GO> |
| RSI-14 & 200D SMA Momentum | 51.1 | 34.3 | +16.80 | ZTO | /rsi-technicals <GO> |
| 10Y Yield & FRED Macro Beta ACTIVE | 1.11 | 0.90 | +0.21 | ZTO | /macro-sensitivity <GO> |
| Forward P/E Multiple | 11.0x | 27.6x | -16.60 | ZTO | /forward-pe <GO> |
| Enterprise Scale & Market Cap | $15.51B | $7.67B | $7.84B | ZTO | /market-cap <GO> |
5-YEAR HISTORICAL XBRL REVENUE & MARGIN TRAJECTORY SEC FORM 10-K FY
| FISCAL YEAR | ZTO REV | TFII REV | ZTO GROSS % | TFII GROSS % | ZTO FCF | TFII FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $7.02B | — | 25.0% | — | $965.8M | — |
| FY 2024 | $6.07B | — | 31.0% | — | $852.3M | — |
| FY 2023 | $0 | — | — | — | $1.88B | — |
FRED MACRO REGIME CORRELATION COMPARISON PEARSON r
ZTO // BETA 1.11
TFII // BETA 0.90