Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$262.38 -0.83% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $261.49

Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $93.74B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CEG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Constellation Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: CEG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $262.38 (-0.83% 1D, market cap $93.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, CEG ranks #40 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CEG compare to SO and AEP in the Utilities sector?
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Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), CEG carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 40.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.4%. By comparison, SO (Southern Company) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 24.6x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $106.97B) and AEP (American Electric Power Company Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 17.0x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $70.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AEP leads on earnings multiple (17.0x) while CEG leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CEG?
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Per CEG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001868275), Constellation Energy Corporation generated $22.66B in revenue (+19.5% YoY), $2.32B in net income, and $1.29B in free cash flow against $57.25B in total assets and $7.25B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $261.49 (-0.34%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 5.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (13)Whales (9)SEC (14)Macro (8)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
$404 Bull$261 Base$204 Bear
📬 FREE CEG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CEG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CEG SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.13 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.7% FCF Margin ($1.29B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (48) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$295.79-12.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
62
Grade C+$258.84+0.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$258.98+1.3% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$262.38-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (65) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CEG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, CEG faces multiple-compression risk if 40.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 40x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($272.29) or 200D SMA ($279.44) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($261.20) toward Bear Floor ($203.74).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CEG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CEG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
4830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.13>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
8 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE22% OF RANGE
L: $229$262.38H: $385
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: CRQD 13 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on CEG

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (65)

13.4% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 1.37% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 2.13 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (50)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like CEG
  • ✓Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Priced at 40x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CEG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CEG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CEG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.27%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-11-02O $258.1H $264.6L $258.1C $262.4VOL 2.72M
RES: $309.7SUP: $248.8SMA50: $272.3SMA200: $279.4
$335.8$306.8$277.7$248.7$219.6RES $309.7SUP $248.8$262.42026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CEG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
30.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +19.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CEG today. View full Setup Ledger →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CEG)

Utilities Rank #40 of 117 ⚔️ SO vs CEG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (CEG vs. SO, AEP, D, ETR)

Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (56 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) ranks #40 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #4 by equity capitalization ($93.74B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AEP leads on earnings valuation at 17.0x trailing P/E, while CEG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.4% ROIC and — gross margin. D currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with CEG at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CEG ACTIVE
Constellation Energy Corporation
D+ 57/100 40.4x — 13.4% -0.83% $93.74B Benchmark Subject
SO
Southern Company
D 48/100 24.6x — 6.9% +0.77% $106.97B /so-vs-ceg →
AEP
American Electric Power Company Inc.
C 63/100 17.0x — 5.6% +0.67% $70.43B /aep-vs-ceg →
D
Dominion Energy Inc.
C 65/100 19.1x — 5.5% +2.30% $57.27B /d-vs-ceg →
ETR
Entergy Corporation
D 46/100 20.5x — 5.9% +0.13% $51.32B /etr-vs-ceg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001868275

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) reported GAAP revenue of $22.66B (+19.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $18.96B , and +8.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.32B, operating cash flow of $4.24B, and free cash flow of $1.29B (+125.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CEG closed FY2025 with $57.25B in total assets against $7.25B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.13, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $22.66B $2.32B $4.24B $1.29B $57.25B $7.25B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $18.96B $3.75B -$2.46B -$5.03B $52.93B $7.38B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $20.84B $1.62B -$5.30B -$6.24B $51.56B $12.06B

3. CEG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CEG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Constellation Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: CEG) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $262.38 (-0.83% 1D, market cap $93.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, CEG ranks #40 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CEG compare to SO and AEP in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), CEG carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 40.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 13.4%. By comparison, SO (Southern Company) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 24.6x, ROIC 6.9%, cap $106.97B) and AEP (American Electric Power Company Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 17.0x, ROIC 5.6%, cap $70.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AEP leads on earnings multiple (17.0x) while CEG leads on capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CEG?

Per CEG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001868275), Constellation Energy Corporation generated $22.66B in revenue (+19.5% YoY), $2.32B in net income, and $1.29B in free cash flow against $57.25B in total assets and $7.25B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CEG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CEG last traded at $262.38 (-0.83% on volume of 3,223,442 shares), positioning the stock -3.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($272.29) and -6.11% below its 200-day simple moving average ($279.44). Across its 52-week range of $228.63 to $384.98, CEG sits at the 21.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($239.03 to $285.73).

CEG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell CEG stock right now?

Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 57/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 40x P/E (13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is CEG's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

CEG's 12-month base price target is $261.2 (range $203.74 to $404.23), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 57/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CEG — Constellation Energy Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:08:36Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, CEG scores 57 out of 100, equating to a letter grade of D+ and a verdict label of "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC 13.4%; FCF yield 1.37%); Whale 13F Flow at 9/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 13/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 8/20 (Beta 0.71; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 2.13; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the pillar mix suggests the strongest support comes from balance-sheet quality and a respectable return on invested capital, while the weakest readings are institutional flow and macro-regime fit. The thin FCF yield of 1.37% indicates that the current share price already embeds substantial expectations about future cash generation; investors would be paying for growth that the trailing cash engine does not yet demonstrate. The low beta of 0.71 implies lower sensitivity to broad market moves, which can be a defensive attribute, but the macro-regime pillar scored only 8/20, signaling that the sector-level sensitivities captured in the rating are not favorable. Upside drivers would need to come from execution on contracted cash flows; valuation tradeoffs are visible in the elevated P/E multiples shown in the Snapshot.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$264.58$93.74B40.433.917.46.550.52%0.71$228.63 - $384.9813.4%

Business

Constellation Energy Corporation is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Utilities sector, classified under Electric Utilities: Central. Per the company profile, its market capitalization is $93.7B. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the company's named relationship with Microsoft involves a 20-year power purchase agreement for carbon-free nuclear electricity tied to the restart of Three Mile Island Unit 1 (Crane Clean Energy Center), supplying PJM baseload power. The source data does not provide a detailed breakdown of revenue by customer type or product line beyond this disclosure.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$22663.0M$3086.0M$2319.0MN/A$1288.0M$3641.0M$7250.0M
FY 2024$18964.0M$4352.0M$3749.0MN/A$-5029.0M$3022.0M$7384.0M
FY 2023$20841.0M$1610.0M$1623.0MN/A$-6238.8MN/A$12064.7M

Per the SEC financials, operating margin is 13.6% and net margin is 10.2% per the market data section, with gross margin reported as 0%. Free cash flow moved from negative in FY 2023 and FY 2024 to positive at $1288.0M in FY 2025. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.13, the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Debt declined from $12064.7M in FY 2023 to $7250.0M in FY 2025.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's EPS for the reported fiscal periods, given that EPS is shown as N/A across FY 2023 through FY 2025?
  • What is the cash balance for FY 2023, which is recorded as N/A?
  • How does the 1.37% FCF yield reconcile with the FY 2025 FCF of $1288.0M relative to the current market capitalization?
  • What is the status of the NRC licensing review and the PJM interconnection upgrades that the Microsoft PPA timeline depends on?
  • What drove the FY 2024 negative FCF of $-5029.0M, and what is the expected trajectory of capital expenditures?

CEG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CEG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CEG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $262.38?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CEG 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CEG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $285.75 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is CEG (D+ • RQD 57/100) a Buy at $264.58?

Welcome to the CEG (Constellation Energy Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 57/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Electric Utilities: Central. Bulls point to capital efficiency (13.4% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (40.4x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $211.66 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $264.58

Pump the brakes on CEG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on CEG, but look at what you are paying: 40.4x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Constellation Energy Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $325.43 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $264.58

CEG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on CEG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Electric Utilities: Central and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $264.58 (52-wk range $228.63 - $384.98), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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