ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ABNB // Airbnb Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001559720 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Diversified Commercial Services
$164.39 ▼ -2.06 (-1.24%)
MKT CAP: $99.67B • VOL: 4.02M
ABNB // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 76/100 [B+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B+
RQD CONFIDENCE
76 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF +1.9% vs NI -5.2% • ROIC-WACC +15.6% • Z 5.13
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
13 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 67% • VS 200D +13.2% • RSI 47.3
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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ABNB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.39%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-02O $166.0H $166.5L $164.4C $164.4VOL 2.56M
RES: $175.6SUP: $157.9SMA50: $169.5SMA200: $147.1
$198.1$178.9$159.7$140.5$121.3RES $175.6SUP $157.9$164.42026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
ABNB // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 60/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Airbnb Inc. (ABNB) exhibits 83.0% gross margins and 25.2% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Diversified Commercial Services), balanced against a 30.9x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 83.0% gross profitability converts into 20.8% operating margin and 25.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 25.2% // GM: 83.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +10.3% paired with 4.11% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +10.3% // FCF YLD: 4.11%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 5.13 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 5.13 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 39.7x trailing P/E (36.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 39.7x // EV/EBITDA: 30.9x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $164.39 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Diversified Commercial Services require continuous execution to defend 20.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 20.5% // D/E: 0.00x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 36.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.93).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 39.7x
FORWARD P/E 36.9x
EV / EBITDA 30.9x
FCF YIELD 4.11%
GROSS MARGIN 83.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 20.8%
NET MARGIN 20.5%
ROIC % 25.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +10.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $4.19
DEBT / EQUITY 0.00x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 47.3
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.93
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ABNBPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $150.42
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>