ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ABNB // Airbnb Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001559720 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Diversified Commercial Services
$171.11 ▲ +6.72 (+4.09%)
MKT CAP: $98.43B • VOL: 5.96M
ABNB // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // B+ (RQD 76) -> B (RQD 74)
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
74 / 100 -2D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF +1.9% vs NI -5.2% • ROIC-WACC +15.6% • Z 5.13
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.07 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.38
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did ABNB's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever ABNB is Upgraded or Downgraded.

ABNB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +23.22%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $166.5H $171.1L $164.4C $171.1VOL 4.02M
RES: $175.2SUP: $158.2SMA50: $169.0SMA200: $147.2
$198.1$178.9$159.7$140.5$121.3RES $175.2SUP $158.2$171.12026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
ABNB // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 60/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Airbnb Inc. (ABNB) exhibits 83.0% gross margins and 25.2% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Diversified Commercial Services), balanced against a 30.9x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 83.0% gross profitability converts into 20.8% operating margin and 25.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 25.2% // GM: 83.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +10.3% paired with 4.11% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +10.3% // FCF YLD: 4.11%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 5.13 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 5.13 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 39.7x trailing P/E (36.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 39.7x // EV/EBITDA: 30.9x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $171.11 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Diversified Commercial Services require continuous execution to defend 20.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 20.5% // D/E: 0.00x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 36.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.93).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 39.7x
FORWARD P/E 36.9x
EV / EBITDA 30.9x
FCF YIELD 4.11%
GROSS MARGIN 83.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 20.8%
NET MARGIN 20.5%
ROIC % 25.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +10.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $4.19
DEBT / EQUITY 0.00x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 44.1
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.93
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ABNBPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $156.57
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for ABNB & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>