ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ADC // Agree Realty Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000917251 ↗
Financials • Real Estate Investment Trusts
$68.48 ▲ +1.41 (+2.10%)
MKT CAP: $8.91B • VOL: 1.85M
ADC // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 63/100 [C] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
62 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +200% vs NI +8% • ROIC-WACC -4.8% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.30 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=+0.09
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
15 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 5 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did ADC's Whale & Options Flow & Insider & Capital Conviction sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever ADC is Upgraded or Downgraded.

ADC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.84%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-04O $67.07H $68.48L $67.07C $68.48VOL 1.85M
RES: $87.87SUP: $62.87SMA50: $68.17SMA200: $74.42
$83.02$77.96$72.90$67.83$62.77RES $87.87SUP $62.87$68.482026-05-052026-06-222026-08-062026-09-222026-11-04
ADC // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 46/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 3.5% return on invested capital within Financials (Real Estate Investment Trusts), balanced against a 27.9x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 47.4% operating margin and 3.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 3.5% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +16.4% paired with 5.36% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +16.4% // FCF YLD: 5.36%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 43.0x trailing P/E (36.1x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 43.0x // EV/EBITDA: 27.9x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $68.48 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Real Estate Investment Trusts require continuous execution to defend 28.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 28.4% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 36.1x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.90).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 43.0x
FORWARD P/E 36.1x
EV / EBITDA 27.9x
FCF YIELD 5.36%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 47.4%
NET MARGIN 28.4%
ROIC % 3.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +16.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.57
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 3.87%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 55.8
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.90
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ADCPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $62.66
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for ADC & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>