ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ALH // Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001317685 ↗
Industrials • Industrial Machinery/Components
$22.51 ▲ +0.53 (+2.41%)
MKT CAP: $4.37B • VOL: 1.11M
ALH // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // B- (RQD 70) -> C- (RQD 61)
ROARABLE C-
RQD CONFIDENCE
61 / 100 -9D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF +55% vs NI +0.2% • ROIC-WACC +76.4% • Z 2.02
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
9 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 35% • VS 200D -6.5% • RSI 55.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +3.6% • P/E 37.9x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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ALH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.04%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $22.36H $22.51L $21.98C $22.51VOL 550.6K
RES: $30.03SUP: $20.07SMA50: $21.77SMA200: $23.51
$28.78$26.51$24.24$21.97$19.70RES $30.03SUP $20.07$22.512026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
ALH // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
HIGH-CONVICTION LONG CONVICTION: 88/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Alliance Laundry Holdings Inc. (ALH) exhibits 37.6% gross margins and 85.0% return on invested capital within Industrials (Industrial Machinery/Components), balanced against a 11.9x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 37.6% gross profitability converts into 18.6% operating margin and 85.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 85.0% // GM: 37.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +13.3% paired with 3.55% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +13.3% // FCF YLD: 3.55%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.02 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.02 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 45.1x trailing P/E (37.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 45.1x // EV/EBITDA: 11.9x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $22.51 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Industrial Machinery/Components require continuous execution to defend 5.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 5.8% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 37.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 45.1x
FORWARD P/E 37.9x
EV / EBITDA 11.9x
FCF YIELD 3.55%
GROSS MARGIN 37.6%
OPERATING MARGIN 18.6%
NET MARGIN 5.8%
ROIC % 85.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +13.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.50
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 55.8
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ALHPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $20.60
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>