ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

AMPH // Amphastar Pharmaceuticals Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001297184 ↗
Health Care • Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations
$27.03 ▼ -0.69 (-2.49%)
MKT CAP: $1.18B • VOL: 497.7K
AMPH // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 72/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
72 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
16 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 86% • VS 200D +24.5% • RSI 63.6
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +10.6% • P/E 10.9x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
15 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.02 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.16
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
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AMPH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.87%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $26.93H $27.72L $26.93C $27.03VOL 664.5K
RES: $30.12SUP: $25.29SMA50: $25.00SMA200: $22.26
$28.58$25.35$22.11$18.88$15.65RES $30.12SUP $25.29$27.032026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
AMPH // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 44/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Amphastar Pharmaceuticals Inc. (AMPH) exhibits 49.5% gross margins and 9.0% return on invested capital within Health Care (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), balanced against a 9.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 49.5% gross profitability converts into 19.5% operating margin and 9.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 9.0% // GM: 49.5%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -1.7% paired with 10.58% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -1.7% // FCF YLD: 10.58%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.47 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.47 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 11.7x trailing P/E (10.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 11.7x // EV/EBITDA: 9.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $27.03 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations require continuous execution to defend 13.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 13.6% // D/E: 0.79x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 10.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 11.7x
FORWARD P/E 10.9x
EV / EBITDA 9.4x
FCF YIELD 10.58%
GROSS MARGIN 49.5%
OPERATING MARGIN 19.5%
NET MARGIN 13.6%
ROIC % 9.0%
REV GROWTH YOY -1.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM $2.31
DEBT / EQUITY 0.79x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 63.6
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // AMPHPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $24.73
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>