ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

APA // APA Corporation

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001841666 ↗
Energy • Oil & Gas Production
$52.82 ▲ +1.31 (+2.54%)
MKT CAP: $18.51B • VOL: 4.43M
APA // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 83/100 [A-] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE A-
RQD CONFIDENCE
82 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Superior Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF +25.6% vs NI +78.4% • ROIC-WACC +18.4% • Z 2.04
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
18 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 100% • VS 200D +38.6% • RSI 69.2
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
17 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=+0.25 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.26
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
SIGNAL

Why did APA's Insider & Capital Conviction & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just trigger an outlier signal? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever APA is Upgraded or Downgraded.

APA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.70%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $51.51H $52.82L $51.51C $52.82VOL 4.43M
RES: $53.43SUP: $45.43SMA50: $46.12SMA200: $38.12
$54.77$47.26$39.75$32.23$24.72RES $53.43SUP $45.43$52.822026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
APA // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 62/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

APA Corporation (APA) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 26.6% return on invested capital within Energy (Oil & Gas Production), balanced against a 6.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 61.1% operating margin and 26.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 26.6% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +9.9% paired with 22.00% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +9.9% // FCF YLD: 22.00%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.04 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.04 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 12.6x trailing P/E (11.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 12.6x // EV/EBITDA: 6.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $52.82 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Oil & Gas Production require continuous execution to defend 28.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 28.4% // D/E: 0.59x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 11.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.04).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 12.6x
FORWARD P/E 11.7x
EV / EBITDA 6.4x
FCF YIELD 22.00%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 61.1%
NET MARGIN 28.4%
ROIC % 26.6%
REV GROWTH YOY +9.9%
DILUTED EPS TTM $4.09
DEBT / EQUITY 0.59x
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.99%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 69.2
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.04
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // APAPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $48.33
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for APA & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>