ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

AVY // Avery Dennison Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000008818 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Containers/Packaging
$187.01 ▲ +4.79 (+2.63%)
MKT CAP: $13.81B • VOL: 951.8K
AVY // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 74/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
74 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF -2.4% vs NI -2.4% • ROIC-WACC +9.8% • Z 4.22
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
15 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 63% • VS 200D +6% • RSI 63.5
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +5.2% • P/E 18.7x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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AVY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +16.55%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $182.1H $187.0L $182.1C $187.0VOL 932.0K
RES: $185.7SUP: $167.4SMA50: $174.1SMA200: $171.9
$190.4$180.1$169.8$159.5$149.2RES $185.7SUP $167.4$187.02026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
AVY // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 51/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY) exhibits 28.8% gross margins and 17.4% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Containers/Packaging), balanced against a 15.6x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 28.8% gross profitability converts into 9.5% operating margin and 17.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 17.4% // GM: 28.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +1.1% paired with 5.16% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +1.1% // FCF YLD: 5.16%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.22 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.22 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 20.1x trailing P/E (18.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 20.1x // EV/EBITDA: 15.6x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $187.01 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Containers/Packaging require continuous execution to defend 7.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 7.8% // D/E: 0.79x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 18.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.94).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 20.1x
FORWARD P/E 18.7x
EV / EBITDA 15.6x
FCF YIELD 5.16%
GROSS MARGIN 28.8%
OPERATING MARGIN 9.5%
NET MARGIN 7.8%
ROIC % 17.4%
REV GROWTH YOY +1.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $9.08
DEBT / EQUITY 0.79x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.09%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 63.5
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.94
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // AVYPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $171.12
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>