ROARABLE // PRO
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ROAR ▸

AWI // Armstrong World Industries Inc

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000007431 ↗
Industrials • Plastic Products
$171.10 ▲ +4.76 (+2.86%)
MKT CAP: $6.96B • VOL: 592.4K
AWI // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 71/100 [B-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B-
RQD CONFIDENCE
71 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
19 / 20
STRONG
FCF +40.1% vs NI +16.5% • ROIC-WACC +20.2% • Z 7.49
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +4.1% • P/E 18.9x • F-SCORE 9/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did AWI's Macro Regime Fit & Whale & Options Flow sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever AWI is Upgraded or Downgraded.

AWI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.57%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $166.0H $171.1L $166.0C $171.1VOL 616.2K
RES: $171.1SUP: $151.5SMA50: $165.4SMA200: $169.1
$191.3$180.2$169.1$157.9$146.8RES $171.1SUP $151.5$171.12026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
AWI // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 65/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Armstrong World Industries Inc (AWI) exhibits 40.6% gross margins and 28.7% return on invested capital within Industrials (Plastic Products), balanced against a 14.7x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 40.6% gross profitability converts into 26.6% operating margin and 28.7% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 28.7% // GM: 40.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +12.1% paired with 4.07% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +12.1% // FCF YLD: 4.07%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 7.49 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 7.49 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 22.5x trailing P/E (18.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 22.5x // EV/EBITDA: 14.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $171.10 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Plastic Products require continuous execution to defend 19.0% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 19.0% // D/E: 0.44x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 18.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.01).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 22.5x
FORWARD P/E 18.9x
EV / EBITDA 14.7x
FCF YIELD 4.07%
GROSS MARGIN 40.6%
OPERATING MARGIN 26.6%
NET MARGIN 19.0%
ROIC % 28.7%
REV GROWTH YOY +12.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $7.38
DEBT / EQUITY 0.44x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.80%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 52.2
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.01
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // AWIPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $156.56
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for AWI & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>