ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

BAH // Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001443646 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Professional Services
$88.02 ▼ -0.47 (-0.53%)
MKT CAP: $10.50B • VOL: 1.95M
BAH // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▲ UPGRADE // B- (RQD 70) -> B (RQD 73)
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
73 / 100 +3D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF +14.1% vs NI -9% • ROIC-WACC +14.2% • Z 4
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
16 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 58% • VS 200D +15.9% • RSI 71.1
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +5.4% • P/E 10.9x • F-SCORE 6/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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BAH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +13.08%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $84.23H $88.49L $84.23C $88.02VOL 3.87M
RES: $90.76SUP: $68.73SMA50: $75.75SMA200: $76.38
$93.54$84.31$75.09$65.86$56.64RES $90.76SUP $68.73$88.022026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
BAH // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 50/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corporation (BAH) exhibits 52.7% gross margins and 20.4% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Professional Services), balanced against a 8.9x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 52.7% gross profitability converts into 9.2% operating margin and 20.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 20.4% // GM: 52.7%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -6.4% paired with 5.37% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -6.4% // FCF YLD: 5.37%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.00 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.00 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 11.7x trailing P/E (10.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 11.7x // EV/EBITDA: 8.9x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $88.02 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Professional Services require continuous execution to defend 7.6% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 7.6% // D/E: 3.76x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 10.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.09).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 11.7x
FORWARD P/E 10.9x
EV / EBITDA 8.9x
FCF YIELD 5.37%
GROSS MARGIN 52.7%
OPERATING MARGIN 9.2%
NET MARGIN 7.6%
ROIC % 20.4%
REV GROWTH YOY -6.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $7.17
DEBT / EQUITY 3.76x
DIVIDEND YIELD 2.76%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 71.1
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.09
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // BAHPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $80.54
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>