ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

CEG // Constellation Energy Corporation

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001868275 ↗
Utilities • Electric Utilities: Central
$262.38 ▼ -2.20 (-0.83%)
MKT CAP: $93.74B • VOL: 3.22M
CEG // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 57/100 [D+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
57 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF +125.6% vs NI -38.1% • ROIC-WACC +6% • Z 2.13
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
9 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 23% • VS 200D -5.3% • RSI 48
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
14 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 6 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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CEG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -18.27%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-11-02O $258.1H $264.6L $258.1C $262.4VOL 2.72M
RES: $309.7SUP: $248.8SMA50: $272.3SMA200: $279.4
$335.8$306.8$277.7$248.7$219.6RES $309.7SUP $248.8$262.42026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
CEG // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 56/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 13.4% return on invested capital within Utilities (Electric Utilities: Central), balanced against a 17.4x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 13.6% operating margin and 13.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 13.4% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +19.5% paired with 1.37% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +19.5% // FCF YLD: 1.37%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.13 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.13 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 40.4x trailing P/E (33.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 40.4x // EV/EBITDA: 17.4x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $262.38 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Electric Utilities: Central require continuous execution to defend 10.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 10.2% // D/E: 0.50x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 33.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.71).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 40.4x
FORWARD P/E 33.9x
EV / EBITDA 17.4x
FCF YIELD 1.37%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 13.6%
NET MARGIN 10.2%
ROIC % 13.4%
REV GROWTH YOY +19.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $6.55
DEBT / EQUITY 0.50x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.52%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 48.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.71
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // CEGPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $240.09
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>