ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

DUK // Duke Energy Corporation (Holding Company)

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001326160 ↗
Utilities • Power Generation
$127.39 ▲ +1.49 (+1.18%)
MKT CAP: $98.16B • VOL: 4.91M
DUK // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 47/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
47 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
14 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 61% • VS 200D +1.2% • RSI 63.8
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.31 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=+0.20
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
20 BASE - 10 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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DUK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.05%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $123.6H $127.4L $123.6C $127.4VOL 3.36M
RES: $128.2SUP: $110.1SMA50: $119.3SMA200: $124.4
$134.1$128.2$122.3$116.5$110.6RES $128.2SUP $110.1$127.42026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
DUK // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 44/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Duke Energy Corporation (Holding Company) (DUK) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 5.2% return on invested capital within Utilities (Power Generation), balanced against a 8.7x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 31.4% operating margin and 5.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 5.2% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +3.3% paired with -1.73% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +3.3% // FCF YLD: -1.73%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.89 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.89 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 19.8x trailing P/E (18.4x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 19.8x // EV/EBITDA: 8.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $127.39 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Power Generation require continuous execution to defend 18.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 18.1% // D/E: 1.55x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 18.4x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.76).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 19.8x
FORWARD P/E 18.4x
EV / EBITDA 8.7x
FCF YIELD -1.73%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 31.4%
NET MARGIN 18.1%
ROIC % 5.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +3.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $6.37
DEBT / EQUITY 1.55x
DIVIDEND YIELD 3.40%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 63.8
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.76
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // DUKPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $116.57
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for DUK & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>