ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

DUOL // Duolingo Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001562088 ↗
Technology • Computer Software: Prepackaged Software
$135.27 ▲ +3.68 (+2.80%)
MKT CAP: $6.16B • VOL: 1.12M
DUOL // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // B+ (RQD 77) -> B (RQD 75)
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
75 / 100 -2D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF +35.2% vs NI +200% • ROIC-WACC +8% • Z 7.42
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +5.8% • P/E 12.9x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did DUOL's Whale & Options Flow & Macro Regime Fit sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever DUOL is Upgraded or Downgraded.

DUOL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +22.72%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $136.4H $136.4L $131.6C $135.3VOL 777.3K
RES: $192.7SUP: $131.6SMA50: $144.6SMA200: $123.7
$216.3$184.4$152.5$120.5$88.59RES $192.7SUP $131.6$135.32026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
DUOL // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 71/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Duolingo Inc. (DUOL) exhibits 72.2% gross margins and 18.4% return on invested capital within Technology (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), balanced against a 37.2x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 72.2% gross profitability converts into 13.1% operating margin and 18.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 18.4% // GM: 72.2%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +38.7% paired with 5.79% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +38.7% // FCF YLD: 5.79%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 7.42 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 7.42 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 15.4x trailing P/E (12.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 15.4x // EV/EBITDA: 37.2x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $135.27 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software require continuous execution to defend 39.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 39.9% // D/E: 0.20x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 12.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.30).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 15.4x
FORWARD P/E 12.9x
EV / EBITDA 37.2x
FCF YIELD 5.79%
GROSS MARGIN 72.2%
OPERATING MARGIN 13.1%
NET MARGIN 39.9%
ROIC % 18.4%
REV GROWTH YOY +38.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM $8.85
DEBT / EQUITY 0.20x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 40.6
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.30
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // DUOLPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $123.78
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for DUOL & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>