ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

ENPH // Enphase Energy Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001463101 ↗
Technology • Semiconductors
$25.65 ▼ -0.21 (-0.81%)
MKT CAP: $3.42B • VOL: 7.34M
ENPH // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 44/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
44 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
6 / 20
CRITICAL
FCF -80% vs NI +67.7% • ROIC-WACC +1.6% • Z 1.79
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF YIELD +2.8% • P/E 18.5x • F-SCORE 8/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
8 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.12 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.18
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did ENPH's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever ENPH is Upgraded or Downgraded.

ENPH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.17%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-02O $24.99H $25.86L $24.99C $25.65VOL 10.14M
RES: $20.49SUP: $22.74SMA50: $33.15SMA200: $40.84
$77.23$62.76$48.29$33.81$19.34RES $20.49SUP $22.74$25.652026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
ENPH // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 51/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Enphase Energy Inc. (ENPH) exhibits 46.6% gross margins and 10.5% return on invested capital within Technology (Semiconductors), balanced against a 18.3x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 46.6% gross profitability converts into 10.7% operating margin and 10.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 10.5% // GM: 46.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +10.7% paired with 2.80% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +10.7% // FCF YLD: 2.80%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.79 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.79 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 19.9x trailing P/E (18.5x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 19.9x // EV/EBITDA: 18.3x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $25.65 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Semiconductors require continuous execution to defend 11.7% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 11.7% // D/E: 0.53x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 18.5x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.21).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 19.9x
FORWARD P/E 18.5x
EV / EBITDA 18.3x
FCF YIELD 2.80%
GROSS MARGIN 46.6%
OPERATING MARGIN 10.7%
NET MARGIN 11.7%
ROIC % 10.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +10.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM $1.30
DEBT / EQUITY 0.53x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 30.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.21
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // ENPHPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $23.47
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for ENPH & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>