ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

F // Ford Motor Company

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000037996 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Auto Manufacturing
$12.25 ▼ -0.11 (-0.89%)
MKT CAP: $48.41B • VOL: 45.06M
F // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 39/100 [D-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D-
RQD CONFIDENCE
39 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
9 / 20
WARNING
FCF +81.1% vs NI -100% • ROIC-WACC -12.3% • Z 0.8
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
9 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 19% • VS 200D -7.3% • RSI 51.3
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF YIELD +22% • P/E 28x • F-SCORE 4/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
ALERT

Why did F's Macro Regime Fit & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever F is Upgraded or Downgraded.

F // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.52%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $11.95H $12.36L $11.95C $12.25VOL 70.56M
RES: $12.28SUP: $11.28SMA50: $12.83SMA200: $13.33
$18.22$16.39$14.55$12.71$10.87RES $12.28SUP $11.28$12.252026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
F // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 35/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Ford Motor Company (F) exhibits 6.8% gross margins and -6.1% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Auto Manufacturing), balanced against a 24.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 6.8% gross profitability converts into -4.9% operating margin and -6.1% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: -6.1% // GM: 6.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +1.2% paired with 22.00% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +1.2% // FCF YLD: 22.00%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 0.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 0.80 // F-SCORE: 4/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (28.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: —
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $12.25 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Auto Manufacturing require continuous execution to defend -3.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: -3.8% // D/E: 2.96x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 28.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.90).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E 28.0x
EV / EBITDA —
FCF YIELD 22.00%
GROSS MARGIN 6.8%
OPERATING MARGIN -4.9%
NET MARGIN -3.8%
ROIC % -6.1%
REV GROWTH YOY +1.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM $-1.83
DEBT / EQUITY 2.96x
DIVIDEND YIELD 6.17%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 51.3
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.90
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // FPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $11.21
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for F & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>