ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

FCFS // FirstCash Holdings Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000840489 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Other Specialty Stores
$193.71 ▲ +12.46 (+6.87%)
MKT CAP: $7.77B • VOL: 598.9K
FCFS // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 58/100 [D+] (-1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
57 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +8.2% vs NI +27.6% • ROIC-WACC -0.5% • Z 2.93
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +6.3% • P/E 22.7x • F-SCORE 9/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=+0.01 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.13
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

Why did FCFS's Whale & Options Flow & Forensic 10-K Risk sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever FCFS is Upgraded or Downgraded.

FCFS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.55%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $187.8H $193.7L $181.3C $193.7VOL 783.9K
RES: $241.0SUP: $169.8SMA50: $210.7SMA200: $206.7
$244.0$222.9$201.8$180.6$159.5RES $241.0SUP $169.8$193.72026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
FCFS // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 49/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

FirstCash Holdings Inc. (FCFS) exhibits 96.0% gross margins and 7.3% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Other Specialty Stores), balanced against a 21.7x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 96.0% gross profitability converts into 24.2% operating margin and 7.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 7.3% // GM: 96.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +10.7% paired with 6.34% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +10.7% // FCF YLD: 6.34%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.93 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.93 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.4x trailing P/E (22.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.4x // EV/EBITDA: 21.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $193.71 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Other Specialty Stores require continuous execution to defend 19.8% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 19.8% // D/E: 0.97x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 22.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.12).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 24.4x
FORWARD P/E 22.7x
EV / EBITDA 21.7x
FCF YIELD 6.34%
GROSS MARGIN 96.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 24.2%
NET MARGIN 19.8%
ROIC % 7.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +10.7%
DILUTED EPS TTM $7.70
DEBT / EQUITY 0.97x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.88%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 35.8
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.12
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // FCFSPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $177.25
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for FCFS & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>