ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

GXO // GXO Logistics Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001852244 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Transportation Services
$50.27 ▲ +0.34 (+0.68%)
MKT CAP: $5.73B • VOL: 1.16M
GXO // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 48/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
48 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -42.1% vs NI -73.9% • ROIC-WACC -3.7% • Z 1.75
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 27% • VS 200D -3.4% • RSI 64.2
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
20 BASE - 8 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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GXO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.64%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $49.38H $50.27L $49.38C $50.27VOL 957.6K
RES: $50.50SUP: $41.97SMA50: $46.99SMA200: $51.71
$56.59$53.07$49.55$46.04$42.52RES $50.50SUP $41.97$50.272026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
GXO // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

GXO Logistics Inc. (GXO) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 4.2% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Transportation Services), balanced against a 14.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 1.9% operating margin and 4.2% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 4.2% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +12.5% paired with 1.92% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +12.5% // FCF YLD: 1.92%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 1.75 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 1.75 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 159.1x trailing P/E (133.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 159.1x // EV/EBITDA: 14.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $50.27 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Transportation Services require continuous execution to defend 0.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 0.3% // D/E: 0.83x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 133.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.06).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 159.1x
FORWARD P/E 133.6x
EV / EBITDA 14.1x
FCF YIELD 1.92%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 1.9%
NET MARGIN 0.3%
ROIC % 4.2%
REV GROWTH YOY +12.5%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.31
DEBT / EQUITY 0.83x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 64.2
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.06
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // GXOPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $46.00
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>