ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

HUBS // HubSpot Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001404655 ↗
Technology • Computer Software: Prepackaged Software
$233.49 ▼ -1.38 (-0.59%)
MKT CAP: $11.71B • VOL: 819.1K
HUBS // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▼ DOWNGRADE // C+ (RQD 66) -> C (RQD 65)
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
65 / 100 -1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF +26.2% vs NI +200% • ROIC-WACC -8.8% • Z 4.86
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
NEUTRAL • r(10Y)=-0.03 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.23
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
18 / 20
STRONG
20 BASE - 2 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

Why did HUBS's Insider & Capital Conviction & Whale & Options Flow sub-score just flash a warning? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever HUBS is Upgraded or Downgraded.

HUBS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.63%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $239.6H $239.6L $233.5C $233.5VOL 967.3K
RES: $272.8SUP: $198.5SMA50: $234.5SMA200: $230.5
$386.3$327.6$268.9$210.1$151.4RES $272.8SUP $198.5$233.52026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
HUBS // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 48/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

HubSpot Inc. (HUBS) exhibits 83.8% gross margins and 0.3% return on invested capital within Technology (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), balanced against a 95.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 83.8% gross profitability converts into 0.2% operating margin and 0.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 0.3% // GM: 83.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +19.2% paired with 5.92% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +19.2% // FCF YLD: 5.92%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.86 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.86 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 24.0x trailing P/E (— Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 24.0x // EV/EBITDA: 95.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $233.49 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Computer Software: Prepackaged Software require continuous execution to defend 1.5% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 1.5% // D/E: 0.36x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs — forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.14).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E —
FORWARD P/E —
EV / EBITDA 95.0x
FCF YIELD 5.92%
GROSS MARGIN 83.8%
OPERATING MARGIN 0.2%
NET MARGIN 1.5%
ROIC % 0.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +19.2%
DILUTED EPS TTM —
DEBT / EQUITY 0.36x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 48.0
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.14
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // HUBSPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $213.65
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for HUBS & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>