ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

IBKR // Interactive Brokers Group Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001381197 ↗
Financials • Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service
$76.90 ▼ -4.87 (-5.96%)
MKT CAP: $37.05B • VOL: 5.75M
IBKR // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 55/100 [D+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
55 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
13 / 20
SOLID
FCF +81.8% vs NI +0% • ROIC-WACC -8.1% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
10 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 57% • VS 200D -1.6% • RSI 45.2
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
15 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 5 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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IBKR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.90%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $83.54H $83.54L $76.90C $76.90VOL 3.59M
RES: $99.74SUP: $75.11SMA50: $87.93SMA200: $83.06
$100.9$92.11$83.35$74.59$65.83RES $99.74SUP $75.11$76.902026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
IBKR // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (IBKR) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 0.3% return on invested capital within Financials (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), balanced against a 95.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 13.9% operating margin and 0.3% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 0.3% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +23.4% paired with 22.00% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +23.4% // FCF YLD: 22.00%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 139.6x trailing P/E (117.3x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 139.6x // EV/EBITDA: 95.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $76.90 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service require continuous execution to defend 10.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 10.9% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 117.3x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.92).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 139.6x
FORWARD P/E 117.3x
EV / EBITDA 95.0x
FCF YIELD 22.00%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 13.9%
NET MARGIN 10.9%
ROIC % 0.3%
REV GROWTH YOY +23.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.59
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.36%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 45.2
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.92
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // IBKRPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $70.37
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>