ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

JBI // Janus International Group Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001839839 ↗
Industrials • Building Products
$4.64 ▲ +0.08 (+1.75%)
MKT CAP: $633.1M • VOL: 2.18M
JBI // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 57/100 [D+] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D+
RQD CONFIDENCE
57 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF -14.9% vs NI -23.6% • ROIC-WACC +0.2% • Z 2.13
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
8 / 20
WARNING
52W RANGE 11% • VS 200D -12.9% • RSI 59.2
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +18.3% • P/E 10.8x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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JBI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.88%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $4.56H $4.64L $4.56C $4.64VOL 2.18M
RES: $4.65SUP: $3.75SMA50: $4.46SMA200: $5.33
$7.88$6.83$5.78$4.73$3.68RES $4.65SUP $3.75$4.642026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
JBI // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 40/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Janus International Group Inc. (JBI) exhibits 38.8% gross margins and 7.9% return on invested capital within Industrials (Building Products), balanced against a 8.7x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 38.8% gross profitability converts into 12.6% operating margin and 7.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 7.9% // GM: 38.8%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -8.3% paired with 18.32% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -8.3% // FCF YLD: 18.32%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.13 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.13 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 11.6x trailing P/E (10.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 11.6x // EV/EBITDA: 8.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $4.64 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Building Products require continuous execution to defend 6.1% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 6.1% // D/E: 0.94x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 10.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 11.6x
FORWARD P/E 10.8x
EV / EBITDA 8.7x
FCF YIELD 18.32%
GROSS MARGIN 38.8%
OPERATING MARGIN 12.6%
NET MARGIN 6.1%
ROIC % 7.9%
REV GROWTH YOY -8.3%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.39
DEBT / EQUITY 0.94x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 59.2
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // JBIPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $4.25
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>