ROARABLE // PRO
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KMB // Kimberly-Clark Corporation

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000055785 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Containers/Packaging
$107.94 ▼ -2.08 (-1.89%)
MKT CAP: $35.90B • VOL: 9.80M
KMB // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 72/100 [B] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B
RQD CONFIDENCE
72 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF -17.8% vs NI -20.6% • ROIC-WACC +37.2% • Z 4.75
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
15 / 20
SOLID
52W RANGE 64% • VS 200D +4.7% • RSI 56.1
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
16 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +5.6% • P/E 16.8x • F-SCORE 5/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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KMB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.85%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $110.0H $110.0L $107.9C $107.9VOL 9.80M
RES: $112.7SUP: $89.30SMA50: $102.7SMA200: $103.1
$118.5$111.6$104.8$98.02$91.21RES $112.7SUP $89.30$107.92026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
KMB // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 68/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) exhibits 36.0% gross margins and 43.6% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Containers/Packaging), balanced against a 13.2x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 36.0% gross profitability converts into 14.3% operating margin and 43.6% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 43.6% // GM: 36.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of -2.1% paired with 5.57% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: -2.1% // FCF YLD: 5.57%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 4.75 and Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 4.75 // F-SCORE: 5/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 18.1x trailing P/E (16.8x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 18.1x // EV/EBITDA: 13.2x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $107.94 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Containers/Packaging require continuous execution to defend 12.3% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 12.3% // D/E: 2.29x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 16.8x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.94).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 18.1x
FORWARD P/E 16.8x
EV / EBITDA 13.2x
FCF YIELD 5.57%
GROSS MARGIN 36.0%
OPERATING MARGIN 14.3%
NET MARGIN 12.3%
ROIC % 43.6%
REV GROWTH YOY -2.1%
DILUTED EPS TTM $6.08
DEBT / EQUITY 2.29x
DIVIDEND YIELD 4.54%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 56.1
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.94
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // KMBPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $98.77
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>