ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

KNSL // Kinsale Capital Group Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001669162 ↗
Financials • Property-Casualty Insurers
$365.71 ▲ +2.77 (+0.76%)
MKT CAP: $8.23B • VOL: 203.2K
KNSL // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 76/100 [B+] (+2 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE B+
RQD CONFIDENCE
78 / 100 +2D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
15 / 20
SOLID
FCF +4% vs NI +21.4% • ROIC-WACC +5.1% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
16 / 20
STRONG
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.09 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.08
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
15 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 5 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
SIGNAL

Why did KNSL's Insider & Capital Conviction & Whale & Options Flow sub-score just trigger an outlier signal? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever KNSL is Upgraded or Downgraded.

KNSL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +20.24%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $362.9H $365.7L $362.9C $365.7VOL 203.2K
RES: $391.6SUP: $318.9SMA50: $357.0SMA200: $350.7
$409.8$376.6$343.4$310.1$276.9RES $391.6SUP $318.9$365.72026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
KNSL // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 57/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Kinsale Capital Group Inc. (KNSL) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 13.8% return on invested capital within Financials (Property-Casualty Insurers), balanced against a 14.7x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 32.8% operating margin and 13.8% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 13.8% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +18.0% paired with 12.12% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +18.0% // FCF YLD: 12.12%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 9/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 9/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 16.2x trailing P/E (13.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 16.2x // EV/EBITDA: 14.7x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $365.71 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Property-Casualty Insurers require continuous execution to defend 26.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 26.9% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 13.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.00).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 16.2x
FORWARD P/E 13.6x
EV / EBITDA 14.7x
FCF YIELD 12.12%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 32.8%
NET MARGIN 26.9%
ROIC % 13.8%
REV GROWTH YOY +18.0%
DILUTED EPS TTM $22.37
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.19%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 54.5
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.00
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // KNSLPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $334.64
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for KNSL & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>