ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

KNX // Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001492691 ↗
Industrials • Trucking Freight/Courier Services
$60.77 ▼ -0.38 (-0.62%)
MKT CAP: $9.95B • VOL: 3.03M
KNX // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 48/100 [D] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE D
RQD CONFIDENCE
48 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
FCF +99.8% vs NI -43.9% • ROIC-WACC -6.9% • Z 2.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
8 / 20
WARNING
HEADWIND • r(10Y)=-0.05 (+23bp) • r(OAS)=-0.36
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
12 / 20
NEUTRAL
20 BASE - 8 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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KNX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.20%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $60.86H $61.15L $60.77C $60.77VOL 2.92M
RES: $63.70SUP: $59.45SMA50: $65.41SMA200: $66.04
$85.11$75.80$66.50$57.20$47.89RES $63.70SUP $59.45$60.772026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
KNX // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
UNDERWEIGHT CONVICTION: 28/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 1.9% return on invested capital within Industrials (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), balanced against a 23.5x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 2.9% operating margin and 1.9% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 1.9% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +0.8% paired with 9.35% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +0.8% // FCF YLD: 9.35%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 2.20 and Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 2.20 // F-SCORE: 6/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 150.9x trailing P/E (140.0x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 150.9x // EV/EBITDA: 23.5x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $60.77 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Trucking Freight/Courier Services require continuous execution to defend 0.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 0.9% // D/E: 0.29x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 140.0x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 0.99).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 150.9x
FORWARD P/E 140.0x
EV / EBITDA 23.5x
FCF YIELD 9.35%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 2.9%
NET MARGIN 0.9%
ROIC % 1.9%
REV GROWTH YOY +0.8%
DILUTED EPS TTM $0.41
DEBT / EQUITY 0.29x
DIVIDEND YIELD 1.18%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 40.7
5Y EQUITY BETA 0.99
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // KNXPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $55.61
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for KNX & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>