ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
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LGND // Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0000886163 ↗
Health Care • Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations
$307.02 ▼ -15.73 (-4.87%)
MKT CAP: $6.43B • VOL: 265.5K
LGND // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
▲ UPGRADE // C- (RQD 61) -> C (RQD 62)
ROARABLE C
RQD CONFIDENCE
62 / 100 +1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
18 / 20
STRONG
52W RANGE 97% • VS 200D +26.8% • RSI 61.9
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
13 / 20
SOLID
TAILWIND • r(10Y)=-0.11 (+19bp) • r(OAS)=-0.24
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
15 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 5 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
ALERT

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LGND // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +34.45%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $317.3H $322.8L $307.0C $307.0VOL 344.4K
RES: $325.3SUP: $296.4SMA50: $298.6SMA200: $254.5
$336.4$296.0$255.7$215.4$175.0RES $325.3SUP $296.4$307.02026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
LGND // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 65/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Ligand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated (LGND) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 3.0% return on invested capital within Health Care (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), balanced against a 95.0x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 15.3% operating margin and 3.0% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 3.0% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +60.4% paired with 0.77% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +60.4% // FCF YLD: 0.77%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 8.40 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 8.40 // F-SCORE: 8/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 50.8x trailing P/E (42.7x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 50.8x // EV/EBITDA: 95.0x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $307.02 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations require continuous execution to defend 46.4% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 46.4% // D/E: 0.22x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 42.7x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.07).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 50.8x
FORWARD P/E 42.7x
EV / EBITDA 95.0x
FCF YIELD 0.77%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 15.3%
NET MARGIN 46.4%
ROIC % 3.0%
REV GROWTH YOY +60.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $6.24
DEBT / EQUITY 0.22x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 61.9
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.07
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // LGNDPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $280.93
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for LGND & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>