ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MKTX // MarketAxess Holdings Inc.

DES <GO> NASDAQ RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001278021 ↗
Financials • Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service
$165.30 ▲ +0.38 (+0.23%)
MKT CAP: $5.80B • VOL: 931.1K
MKTX // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 82/100 [A-] (+0 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE A-
RQD CONFIDENCE
82 / 100 +0D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Buy — Superior Risk/Reward
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF -0.4% vs NI -10% • ROIC-WACC +19.5% • Z 3.2
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
17 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +6.4% • P/E 21.9x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] OUTLIER
UNLOCK BELOW TO REVEAL
05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
15 / 20
SOLID
20 BASE - 5 DEDUCT • 0 CRIT / 0 MED • STABLE
SIGNAL

Why did MKTX's Macro Regime Fit & Whale & Options Flow sub-score just trigger an outlier signal? Enter your email to unlock the full 5-Pillar Rating Breakdown + get instant alerts whenever MKTX is Upgraded or Downgraded.

MKTX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.72%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $164.8H $165.3L $164.8C $165.3VOL 731.6K
RES: $165.5SUP: $164.8SMA50: $163.9SMA200: $155.2
$181.5$161.8$142.1$122.4$102.6RES $165.5SUP $164.8$165.32026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
MKTX // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
ACCUMULATE CONVICTION: 60/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

MarketAxess Holdings Inc. (MKTX) exhibits 45.0% gross margins and 28.4% return on invested capital within Financials (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), balanced against a 16.1x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 45.0% gross profitability converts into 40.4% operating margin and 28.4% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 28.4% // GM: 45.0%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +3.6% paired with 6.44% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +3.6% // FCF YLD: 6.44%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.80 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.80 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 23.5x trailing P/E (21.9x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 23.5x // EV/EBITDA: 16.1x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $165.30 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service require continuous execution to defend 29.2% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 29.2% // D/E: 0.45x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 21.9x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.02).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 23.5x
FORWARD P/E 21.9x
EV / EBITDA 16.1x
FCF YIELD 6.44%
GROSS MARGIN —
OPERATING MARGIN 40.4%
NET MARGIN 29.2%
ROIC % 28.4%
REV GROWTH YOY +3.6%
DILUTED EPS TTM $7.02
DEBT / EQUITY —
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 63.9
5Y EQUITY BETA 1.02
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MKTXPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $151.26
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

Unblur the exact $50,000 delta-adjusted ETF/options hedge ratio for MKTX & activate live FRED threshold breach alerts.

HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>