ROARABLE // PRO
GLOBAL DESKS // NYC --:--:-- NYSE
US TAPE
ROAR ▸

MMS // Maximus Inc.

DES <GO> NYSE RQD COCKPIT → CIK 0001032220 ↗
Consumer Discretionary • Business Services
$66.55 ▲ +2.83 (+4.44%)
MKT CAP: $3.34B • VOL: 525.7K
MMS // ROARABLE RATING & 5-PILLAR RQD CONFIDENCE 02:00 EST DETERMINISTIC ENGINE
PRIOR: RQD 67/100 [C+] (+1 PT) • UNCHANGED
ROARABLE C+
RQD CONFIDENCE
68 / 100 +1D
5 X 20-PT QUANT PILLARS
E 0 D 35 C 59 B 70 A 86+
Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout
01 MASSIVE / SEC XBRL
Forensic Fundamentals
14 / 20
SOLID
FCF -16.7% vs NI +3.9% • ROIC-WACC +5.8% • Z 3.1
02 INSTITUTIONAL TAPE & TREND
Whale & Options Flow
11 / 20
NEUTRAL
52W RANGE 26% • VS 200D -1.2% • RSI 64.9
03 SEC XBRL CAPITAL ALLOCATION
Insider & Capital Conviction
18 / 20
STRONG
FCF YIELD +13.1% • P/E 9.6x • F-SCORE 7/9
04 FRED 90D r-MATRIX
Macro Regime Fit
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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05 10-K REDLINE AUDIT
Forensic 10-K Risk
[LOCKED] FLAGGED
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ALERT

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MMS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.11%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-03O $62.84H $66.55L $62.84C $66.55VOL 393.9K
RES: $64.77SUP: $50.33SMA50: $58.11SMA200: $64.47
$83.47$74.68$65.89$57.10$48.31RES $64.77SUP $50.33$66.552026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
MMS // INSTITUTIONAL BULL VS. BEAR FORENSIC DEBATE
NEUTRAL / PAIR TRADE CONVICTION: 49/100
BEAR 0
100 BULL

Maximus Inc. (MMS) exhibits 24.6% gross margins and 13.5% return on invested capital within Consumer Discretionary (Business Services), balanced against a 8.8x enterprise multiple and 4.8% implied options volatility.

▲ INSTITUTIONAL BULL THESIS (LONG)
01. Operating Leverage & Capital Efficiency Moat

Sustained 24.6% gross profitability converts into 9.7% operating margin and 13.5% ROIC, outpacing sector cost of capital.

ROIC: 13.5% // GM: 24.6%
02. Top-Line Expansion & Cash Conversion

YoY revenue trajectory of +2.4% paired with 13.05% free cash flow yield supports self-funded R&D and capital return.

REV YOY: +2.4% // FCF YLD: 13.05%
03. Balance Sheet Solvency & Forensic Quality

Altman Z-Score of 3.10 and Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicate low near-term refinancing stress.

ALTMAN Z: 3.10 // F-SCORE: 7/9
▼ INSTITUTIONAL BEAR THESIS (SHORT / RISK)
01. Multiple Compression & Duration Sensitivity

Trading at 10.3x trailing P/E (9.6x Fwd P/E) leaves valuation vulnerable if real 10Y TIPS yields spike.

P/E: 10.3x // EV/EBITDA: 8.8x
02. Options Skew & Event Volatility Risk

Options market prices a ±5.2% implied move with a 0.85 put/call ratio around $66.55 max pain.

IMPL MOVE: ±5.2% // P/C: 0.85
03. Competitive Margin & CapEx Cycle Pressure

Elevated industry capital intensity and customer concentration in Business Services require continuous execution to defend 5.9% net margins.

NET MARGIN: 5.9% // D/E: 0.88x
KEY CATALYST // Upcoming 10-Q/10-K XBRL margin progression, guidance revision vs 9.6x forward consensus, and institutional 13F positioning.
MACRO REGIME // Monitor US 10Y Real Yields (DFII10) and High-Yield Credit Spreads (OAS) for beta-adjusted multiple impact (Beta 1.10).
FORM 4 & 13F FLOW OPEN OWN <GO>
FILER SIDE $ VALUE
INSPECT FULL OWNERSHIP LEDGER IN OWN <GO>
UNUSUAL OPTIONS TAPE OPEN OPT <GO>
STRIKE / EXP TYPE PREMIUM
INSPECT GEX & CHAIN IN OPT <GO>
KEY VALUATION & PROFITABILITY RATIOS XBRL FA <GO>
TRAILING P/E 10.3x
FORWARD P/E 9.6x
EV / EBITDA 8.8x
FCF YIELD 13.05%
GROSS MARGIN 24.6%
OPERATING MARGIN 9.7%
NET MARGIN 5.9%
ROIC % 13.5%
REV GROWTH YOY +2.4%
DILUTED EPS TTM $6.09
DEBT / EQUITY 0.88x
DIVIDEND YIELD 0.00%
RSI-14 MOMENTUM 64.9
5Y EQUITY BETA —
FRED MACRO SENSITIVITY (PEARSON r) ECST <GO>
MACRO CORRELATION CALIBRATION ACTIVE BELOW.
FRED MACRO REGIME STRESS-TEST SIMULATOR // MMSPEARSON R VARIANCE ENGINE
01 // SELECT FEDERAL RESERVE & CREDIT SHOCK SCENARIO
02 // POSITION NOTIONAL EXPOSURE
HEADLINE STRESS SCORE
75/100SEVERE DRAWDOWN PRESSURE
PRIMARY FACTOR EXPOSURE
DFII10 // -0.61 r
Latest: 2.08%
EST. DIRECTIONAL MOVE
-8.50%
Implied Px: $60.90
EST. DOLLAR VARIANCE
-$4,248
On $50,000 Notional
[LOCKED // MULTI-FACTOR DRAWDOWN HEDGE & MACRO TRIGGER ALERT]

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HEAD-TO-HEAD PEER COMPARISONS COMP <GO>